Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.140908 0.160241 0.181680 0.207287 0.237137 0.270944 0.312292
2025-12-28 0.111255 0.137250 0.168915 0.210656 0.264714 0.333023 0.426922
2026-01-04 0.093492 0.122283 0.159834 0.213097 0.287834 0.390684 0.545954
2026-01-11 0.081642 0.111828 0.153401 0.215975 0.309780 0.448483 0.675476
2026-01-18 0.073627 0.104881 0.149974 0.221436 0.334995 0.514071 0.829585
2026-01-25 0.066157 0.097415 0.144334 0.222067 0.352039 0.569030 0.977691
2026-02-01 0.059871 0.090765 0.138791 0.221581 0.366533 0.621537 1.132585
2026-02-08 0.054260 0.084406 0.132748 0.219109 0.376762 0.667765 1.285764
2026-02-15 0.049471 0.078773 0.127113 0.216342 0.385669 0.712634 1.446405
2026-02-22 0.046645 0.076040 0.125944 0.221190 0.409301 0.790015 1.695766
2026-03-01 0.042913 0.071352 0.120812 0.217932 0.416428 0.834866 1.882789
2026-03-08 0.040117 0.068005 0.117673 0.217984 0.430134 0.896110 2.125923
2026-03-15 0.037491 0.064766 0.114486 0.217729 0.443645 0.960790 2.400608
2026-03-22 0.035789 0.063058 0.113995 0.222915 0.470062 1.061545 2.807369
2026-03-29 0.033980 0.060965 0.112521 0.225813 0.491774 1.155681 3.228403
2026-04-05 0.032365 0.059084 0.111248 0.228943 0.514559 1.257761 3.711945
2026-04-12 0.031159 0.057884 0.111211 0.234794 0.545059 1.387826 4.339533
2026-04-19 0.029569 0.055768 0.109051 0.235470 0.562533 1.485666 4.895975
2026-04-26 0.028012 0.053585 0.106527 0.234950 0.576797 1.577724 5.471692
2026-05-03 0.026414 0.051181 0.103296 0.232306 0.584864 1.653045 6.016379
2026-05-10 0.024926 0.048889 0.100099 0.229347 0.591595 1.726078 6.587270
2026-05-17 0.024159 0.048072 0.100115 0.234532 0.622843 1.888590 7.639420
2026-05-24 0.022836 0.045943 0.096945 0.231047 0.627691 1.961903 8.313291